Hot Take: Gen AI and startups!

Hot Take: While the number of tech startups is going to increase substantially thanks to GenAI tools, the number of those that fail is also going to be predictably higher.

GenAI is going to help build tech faster (and better over time) but that is a small part of the whole equation. 

Having built tech for multiple startups since 2011, I can tell execution is everything. We may build the most amazing tool, but the basics are never going to change. 

Product Market Fit, Founder Market Fit, Go to market strategy, Financial forecasting and planning, Pivot strategy, Gathering and assimilating market intelligence are things that GenAI might help, but these are to be organically done and will always be the differentiators between executors and everyone else. 

Heck, we already have GenAI to a point where these tools can layout a clear roadmap for you to follow, but that is just one thing, following it (and aligning it with your execution) is a completely different things.

A tech manager's superpower

Also playing spoil sport is basic human tendency. If software can built ever so easily, then the 'lets throw it and see if it sticks' notion will also increase, potentially leading to a lesser commitment to the product at hand. So the percentage of founders that build and execute will either remain the same (more non tech founders will have better ability to go to market), or will reduce (because even more fully non-committed attempts)

The basics that I mentioned again matter here. How far is a founder willing to go to execute on what they have built will be decider, but my feeling is that there will more more that will just go build a tool just because they now can with the hope that it sticks.